MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 19:48:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Toulouse

Lyon
1 - 1
Toulouse

Tete (2')
Toko Ekambi (88'), Cherki (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ratao (67')
Dallinga (4'), Aboukhlal (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Toulouse

Even with the Groupama faithful behind them, backing a depleted Lyon side to get the job done with any real confidence is a difficult ask, although it is important to note that all four of their recent losses have come against teams higher than them in the table. Toulouse may be buoyed by their recent derby success, but keeping things tight at the back away from home has been a sticky point for Les Violets - who will be without their only recognised right-back - and we still have faith in Bosz's side to return to winning ways here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawToulouse
57.92% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 20.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 21.22% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)38.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.021999999999998 0.02)66.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 57.92%
    Toulouse 21.22%
    Draw 20.87%
LyonDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 57.92%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.87%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 21.22%

How you voted: Lyon vs Toulouse

Lyon
84.3%
Draw
8.7%
Toulouse
7.0%
172
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Dec 18, 2019 5.45pm
Lyon
4-1
Toulouse
Traore (2', 57'), Lucas (17'), Terrier (92')
Lucas (24'), Traore (53')
Kone (47')
Nov 2, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Sanogo (15'), Lopes (57' og.)
Goncalves (46'), Kone (82'), Vainqueur (84')
Depay (26', 95'), Dembele (67')
Mar 3, 2019 4pm
Lyon
5-1
Toulouse
Depay (10'), Traore (30'), Fekir (35' pen.), Dembele (67', 71')
Dossevi (15')
Jullien (45'), Cahuzac (56')
Cahuzac (83')
Jan 16, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
2-2
Lyon
Durmaz (12', 74' pen.)
Cahuzac (45'), Moubandje (53'), Jullien (86'), Moreira (90')
Dembele (75'), Fekir (87')
Solet (10'), Depay (45'), Morel (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!