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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Toulouse

Lyon
1 - 1
Toulouse

Tete (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ratao (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawToulouse
57.92% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)20.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)21.22% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)38.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.021999999999998 0.02)66.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 57.92%
    Toulouse 21.22%
    Draw 20.87%
LyonDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 57.92%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.87%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 21.22%

How you voted: Lyon vs Toulouse

Lyon
84.3%
Draw
8.7%
Toulouse
7.0%
172
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
Cornet (29'), Dembele (71'), Toko Ekambi (77')

Vainqueur (46')
Dec 18, 2019 5.45pm
Lyon
4-1
Toulouse
Traore (2', 57'), Lucas (17'), Terrier (92')
Lucas (24'), Traore (53')
Kone (47')
Nov 2, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Sanogo (15'), Lopes (57' og.)
Goncalves (46'), Kone (82'), Vainqueur (84')
Depay (26', 95'), Dembele (67')
Mar 3, 2019 4pm
Lyon
5-1
Toulouse
Depay (10'), Traore (30'), Fekir (35' pen.), Dembele (67', 71')
Dossevi (15')
Jullien (45'), Cahuzac (56')
Cahuzac (83')
Jan 16, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
2-2
Lyon
Durmaz (12', 74' pen.)
Cahuzac (45'), Moubandje (53'), Jullien (86'), Moreira (90')
Dembele (75'), Fekir (87')
Solet (10'), Depay (45'), Morel (78')
rhs 2.0


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