Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
3 - 2
Lyon

Terrier (38', 77'), Gouiri (47')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lacazette (23', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Rennes
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Toulouse
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Lyon
62.64% ( 0.53)	20.26% ( 0.18)	17.1% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

-2.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.86% (

-2.09)

40.13% (

2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5% (

-2.19)

62.5% (

2.19)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75% (

-0.49)

12.25% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.03% (

-1.03)

37.97% (

1.03)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.19% (

-2.07)

36.8% (

2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.41% (

-2.12)

73.59% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

Rennes 62.64%

Lyon 17.1%

Draw 20.26%

Rennes	Draw	Lyon
2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.64%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.26%	1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.1%