Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.