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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lyon

Marseille
1 - 0
Lyon

Gigot (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Spurs
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Lille
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLyon
46.9% (0.515 0.52)23.69% (0.052 0.05)29.41% (-0.565 -0.57)
Both teams to score 59.81% (-0.556 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-0.572 -0.57)41.86% (0.573 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74% (-0.578 -0.58)64.26% (0.579 0.58)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.07% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)26.99% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.872 -0.87)62.34% (0.873 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 46.9%
    Lyon 29.41%
    Draw 23.68%
MarseilleDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lyon

Marseille
40.9%
Draw
15.7%
Lyon
43.3%
127
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
0-3
Lyon

Sampaoli (28'), Lopez (57'), Gueye (71')
Lukeba (55'), Dembele (76'), Toko Ekambi (88')
Dembele (60')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-1
Marseille
Shaqiri (76'), Dembele (89')
Guendouzi (10')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Lyon
Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Lyon
1-1
Marseille
Aouar (28' pen.)
Guimaraes (86')
Payet (16')
Caleta-Car (4'), Bamba (45+4')
Payet (19')
Apr 19, 2020 8pm
Lyon
P-P
Marseille
rhs 2.0


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