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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lens logo

Marseille
0 - 1
Lens

FT(HT: 0-0)
Costa (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Lens had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLens
47.32% (-0.615 -0.62)25.36% (0.277 0.28)27.32% (0.332 0.33)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.612 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (-0.92599999999999 -0.93)50.47% (0.918 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (-0.823 -0.82)72.4% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.646 -0.65)21.34% (0.641 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-1.006 -1.01)54.3% (0.999 1)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)32.94% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (-0.251 -0.25)69.52% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 47.31%
    Lens 27.32%
    Draw 25.35%
MarseilleDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lens

Marseille
73.2%
Draw
18.6%
Lens
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Lens
0-2
Marseille

Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')
Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
2-3
Lens
Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Gueye (6'), Guendouzi (7')
Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 8pm
Lens
2-2
Marseille
Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Marseille
0-1
Lens

Gueye (55'), Balerdi (62'), Perrin (69'), Khaoui (81'), Cuisance (90+1')
Banza (59')
Haidara (19'), Banza (25'), Medina (55')
Mar 22, 2015 8pm
Lens
0-4
Marseille

Valdivia (11'), Gbamin (35'), Lemoigne (66')
Batshuayi (46', 93'), Romao (67'), Ayew (72')
Dja Djedje (22'), Imbula (90')
> Match Report