Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 1, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 2
Spurs

Mbemba (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lenglet (54'), Hojbjerg (90+5')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur's Son Heung-min leaves the pitch in tears on November 1, 2022

Tottenham Hotspur's Son Heung-min to undergo eye surgery after fracture

Tottenham Hotspur announce that Son Heung-min will undergo eye surgery to address the injury he sustained against Marseille in the Champions League.

Nov 2, 23:52

Tottenham Hotspur assistant manager Cristian Stellini pictured on November 1, 2022

Cristian Stellini reacts as Tottenham qualify for Champions League last 16

Tottenham Hotspur assistant Cristian Stellini reacts after the Lilywhites advance to the Champions League last-16 with a dramatic 2-1 win over Marseille in Group D.

Nov 1, 23:14

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Marseille
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-3 Spurs
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
27.46% ( 0.03)	25.16% ( -0.05)	47.38% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

0.21)

49.57% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

0.19)

71.6% (

-0.19)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63% (

0.14)

32.36% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.12% (

0.16)

68.87% (

-0.16)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

0.09)

20.94% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

0.15)

53.68% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Marseille 27.46%

Tottenham Hotspur 47.38%

Draw 25.15%

Marseille	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 27.46%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.38%