Champions League header

Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Marseille

Frankfurt
2 - 1
Marseille

Kamada (3'), Kolo (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guendouzi (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Marseille

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMarseille
36.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)25.03% (0.02 0.02)38.96% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)45.84% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)68.16% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.9% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)23.32% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (-0.106 -0.11)57.26% (0.105 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 36.01%
    Marseille 38.96%
    Draw 25.03%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.96%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Marseille

Eintracht Frankfurt
68.8%
Draw
15.6%
Marseille
15.6%
308
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Group D
Marseille
0-1
Frankfurt
Lindstrom (43')
Hasebe (37')
Nov 29, 2018 8pm
Group H
Frankfurt
4-0
Marseille
Jovic (2', 67'), Gustavo (17' og.), Sarr (62' og.)
Fernandes (33'), Kostic (90')

Gustavo (71')
Sep 20, 2018 5.55pm
Group H
Marseille
1-2
Frankfurt
Ocampos (3')
Torro (52'), Jovic (89')
Willems (16')
Willems (59')
rhs 2.0


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