Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 2
Frankfurt

Heung-min (19', 36'), Kane (28' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kamada (14'), Alidou (87')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte celebrates on October 12, 2022

Antonio Conte: 'Tottenham Hotspur learned a big lesson in Frankfurt win'

Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte concedes that his side learned a "big lesson" in their nerve-wracking 3-2 Champions League Group D win over Eintracht Frankfurt.

Oct 13, 07:03

Son Heung-min celebrates scoring for Tottenham Hotspur against Eintracht Frankfurt on October 11, 2022

Tottenham Hotspur edge five-goal thriller with Eintracht Frankfurt to go top

Tottenham Hotspur rise to the top of Champions League Group D after overcoming 10-man Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2 in North London.

Oct 12, 20:55

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 1-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
56.66% ( -0.01)	20.62% ( -0.01)	22.71% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 64.13% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.74% (

0.04)

33.25% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.98% (

0.04)

55.01% (

-0.04)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.23% (

0.01)

11.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.05% (

0.02)

36.95% (

-0.02)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.03)

27.31% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24% (

0.04)

62.75% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 56.66%

Eintracht Frankfurt 22.71%

Draw 20.62%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.66%	1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 22.71%