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Ligue 1

Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Marseille

Strasbourg
2 - 2
Marseille

Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
StrasbourgDrawMarseille
27.48% (0.0019999999999989 0)26.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)46.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.63% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.71% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)53.29% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.16% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)74.84% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)34.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)71.02% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)22.92% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)56.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 27.48%
    Marseille 46.43%
    Draw 26.08%
StrasbourgDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.48%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 46.43%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Marseille

Strasbourg
19.4%
Draw
7.5%
Marseille
73.1%
67
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 8pm
Marseille
4-0
Strasbourg
Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')

Sissoko (75')
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Strasbourg
0-2
Marseille

Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Benedetto (86')
Rongier (55'), Lirola (81'), Milik (90+2'), Gueye (90+3')
Mitrovic (73')
Kone (53'), Diallo (85')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Strasbourg
0-1
Marseille
Sanson (72')
Amavi (52'), Kamara (58'), Khaoui (87'), Mandanda (89')
May 2, 2020 7pm
Strasbourg
P-P
Marseille
rhs 2.0


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