Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.