Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
31.04% ( 0.15) | 26.14% ( -0.05) | 42.82% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.5% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.17% ( 0.27) | 51.83% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.41% ( 0.23) | 73.59% ( -0.23) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 0.23) | 30.9% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( 0.28) | 67.19% ( -0.27) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.07) | 24.02% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( 0.1) | 58.28% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
8 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |