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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Lille

Lyon
1 - 0
Lille

Lacazette (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, October 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 4-3 Monaco
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawLille
46.74% (0.062999999999995 0.06)23.63% (-0.041 -0.04)29.62% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.16% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53% (0.175 0.17)41.46% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (0.177 0.18)63.86% (-0.178 -0.18)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (0.092999999999989 0.09)17.98% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.17% (0.161 0.16)48.82% (-0.162 -0.16)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.070999999999998 0.07)26.65% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.096000000000004 0.1)61.89% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 46.74%
    Lille 29.63%
    Draw 23.63%
LyonDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lille

Lyon
43.2%
Draw
25.2%
Lille
31.5%
111
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 7.45pm
Lyon
0-1
Lille

Dembele (19'), Caqueret (43'), Aouar (90+1')
Gudmundsson (35')
David (81'), Xeka (83')
Dec 12, 2021 12pm
Lille
0-0
Lyon

Andre (18'), Celik (22')

Da Silva (24'), Mendes (45+1'), Gusto (82'), Dembele (88'), Boateng (90+2'), Cherki (90+5')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-3
Lille
Slimani (20'), Fonte (35' og.)
Yilmaz (45+1', 85'), David (60')
Andre (43'), Yilmaz (86'), Yazici (90+1')
Nov 1, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-1
Lyon
Bamba (22')
Fonte (28'), Yilmaz (41'), Soumaoro (89')
Celik (41' og.)
Marcelo (3'), Toko Ekambi (33'), Garcia (69')
Marcelo (50')
Mar 8, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-0
Lyon
Remy (33')
Remy (45')

Toko Ekambi (57'), Traore (70'), Tousart (78')
rhs 2.0


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