MX23RW : Monday, December 11 06:19:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Monaco
Lille
4 - 3
Monaco
Alexsandro (22'), Cabella (39', 62'), Bamba (71')
Bamba (50')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Henrique (34'), Disasi (44'), Ben Yedder (53')
Matazo (21'), Badiashile (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Lille
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, October 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Monaco

Monaco would be foolish not to take full advantage of Andre and Fonte's absences this weekend, as losing two integral cogs of Fonseca's well-oiled machine certainly spells danger for the hosts. An in-form David is more than capable of troubling the Monaco backline on his own, but Clement's side have been an incredibly tough nut to crack on the road, and we expect the two managers to shake hands on a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMonaco
43% (-0.39 -0.39) 25.28% (0.189 0.19) 31.71% (0.195 0.19)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.01% (-0.762 -0.76)47.99% (0.757 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.84% (-0.706 -0.71)70.16% (0.699 0.7)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.508 -0.51)22.26% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.765 -0.77)55.7% (0.761 0.76)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)28.53% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (-0.315 -0.31)64.31% (0.31 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Lille 43%
    Monaco 31.71%
    Draw 25.28%
LilleDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.155 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.194 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Lille vs Monaco

Lille
34.6%
Draw
24.1%
Monaco
41.4%
133
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 8pm
Lille
1-2
Monaco
Gomes (69')
Celik (39'), Fonte (51'), Andre (87'), Bamba (90')
Tchouameni (42', 75')
Ben Yedder (66')
Nov 19, 2021 8pm
Monaco
2-2
Lille
Diatta (41'), Ben Yedder (83')
Pavlovic (3'), Fofana (84')
Pavlovic (78')
David (5' pen., 9')
Celik (7'), David (37'), Yazici (68'), Weah (73'), Niasse (85')
Mar 14, 2021 4.05pm
Monaco
0-0
Lille

Tchouameni (16'), Disasi (51'), Sidibe (82')

Sanches (35'), Andre (83'), Araujo (83')
Dec 6, 2020 12pm
Lille
2-1
Monaco
David (53'), Yazici (65')
Djalo (64'), Soumare (90+2'), Weah (90+2')
Pellegri (90')
Mar 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!