Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
43% (![]() | 25.28% (![]() | 31.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% (![]() | 47.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% (![]() | 70.16% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.7% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% (![]() | 28.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% (![]() | 64.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 36 |
2 | Nice | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 32 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Brest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Marseille | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
8 | Reims | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 23 |
9 | NantesNantes | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Metz | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
13 | Rennes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 15 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Toulouse | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 11 |
18 | Lyon | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |