Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lille had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 48.66% | 25.86% | 25.48% |
| Both teams to score 49.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% | 55.44% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% | 36.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.66% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.48% |