Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Lille had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 38.75% | 26.22% | 35.02% |
| Both teams to score 53.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% | 51.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% | 73.07% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% | 25.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% | 60.84% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% | 28.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% | 63.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.02% |