Coupe de France | Round of 16
Apr 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade de Paris
Lyon

Red Star
2 - 2
Lyon

Meissa Ba (61'), Roye (74')
Daillet (48'), Michel (90')
FT
(aet)
Paqueta (28'), Depay (45')
Cherki (68'), Paqueta (86')
Lyon win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coupe de France clash between Red Star and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 12.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.53%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Red Star win it was 1-0 (5.26%).

Result
Red StarDrawLyon
12.91%21.26%65.83%
Both teams to score 42.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.49%52.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82%74.18%
Red Star Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.82%50.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.21%84.79%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8%15.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17%43.83%
Score Analysis
    Red Star 12.91%
    Lyon 65.82%
    Draw 21.26%
Red StarDrawLyon
1-0 @ 5.26%
2-1 @ 3.42%
2-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 12.91%
1-1 @ 9.91%
0-0 @ 7.63%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.26%
0-1 @ 14.36%
0-2 @ 13.53%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-3 @ 8.5%
1-3 @ 5.86%
0-4 @ 4%
1-4 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-5 @ 1.51%
1-5 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 65.82%

How you voted: Red Star vs Lyon

Red Star
14.6%
Draw
5.6%
Lyon
79.8%
89