Red Star
3 - 2
Lens

Meissa Ba (21'), Michel (83'), Dzabana (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Medina (29'), Doucoure (49')
Medina (72')

Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 32 clash between Red Star and Lens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Red Star win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Red Star	Draw	Lens
26.11%	27.15%	46.73%

Both teams to score 46.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.94%

58.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27%

78.73%

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96%

38.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.2%

74.8%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14%

24.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54%

59.45%

Score Analysis

Red Star 26.11%

Lens 46.73%

Draw 27.15%

Red Star	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 6.15% 2-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.11%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 13.16% 0-2 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.48% 1-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.73%