Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lens had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lyon |
22.09% | 23.98% | 53.92% |
Both teams to score 51.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.69% | 49.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.64% | 71.35% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.15% | 36.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.37% | 73.63% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% | 18.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% | 49.2% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 6.69% 2-1 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.34% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.09% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 0-2 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 5.52% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |