/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flivlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
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Mohamed Salah
85'
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Darwin Nunez
90'+8'
Liverpool vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F44%2Fjurgen-klopp.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F44%2Flivnap.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F42%2Fdigjot.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F43%2Fjordan-henderson-roberto-firmino.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F40%2Fjordan-henderson.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.41%) and 1-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result
Liverpool
43.82%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
21.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Napoli
34.47%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
69.8%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
70.17%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
29.83%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
49.01%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
50.98%
▲
(+0.18)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
85.46%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
14.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
57.43%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
42.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
81.66%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
18.33%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
50.57%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
49.43%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Liverpool
43.82%
Draw
21.71%
Napoli
34.47%
Liverpool
2-1
@
8.41%
▲
(+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 43.82%
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 43.82%
Draw
1-1
@
8.72%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
2-2 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
Napoli
1-2
@
7.4%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 34.47%
0-1 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 34.47%
