Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup

Liverpool logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Anfield
Derby logo

Liverpool
0 - 0
Derby

FT
Liverpool win 2-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool squeezed past Derby County 2-1 on penalties after a 0-0 draw in normal time at Anfield, with the Reds ensuring that their EFL Cup defence lives on for another round.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Derby County.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Derby County.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Liverpool's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Derby County

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 13.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawDerby County
69.14% (-0.143 -0.14)17.82% (0.102 0.1)13.04% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.78% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7% (-0.407 -0.41)37.3% (0.407 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.48% (-0.441 -0.44)59.51% (0.44 0.44)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)9.76% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.52% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)32.47% (0.334 0.33)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.207 -0.21)40.4% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.188 -0.19)77.02% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 69.14%
    Derby County 13.04%
    Draw 17.82%
LiverpoolDrawDerby County
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 8.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 69.14%
1-1 @ 8.32% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 3.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.57% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.04%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Derby

Liverpool
78.6%
Derby County
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2016 7.45pm
Derby
0-3
Liverpool

Johnson (76'), Hughes (79')
Klavan (24'), Coutinho (50'), Origi (55')
Moreno (45'), Grujic (75')
Dec 26, 2007 3pm
Derby
1-2
Liverpool
McEveley (67')
McEveley (71')
Gerrard (90'), Torres (12')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
Liverpool
6-0
Derby
Alonso (27', 69'), Babel (45'), Torres (56', 78'), Voronin (76')

Griffin (66')
Apr 20, 2002 3pm
Liverpool
2-0
Derby
Owen (15', 89')

Boertien (11'), Morris (74'), Kinkladze (87')
Dec 1, 2001 3pm
Derby
0-1
Liverpool
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!