Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barak (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
44.75% ( 0.06)	25.78% ( -0.02)	29.46% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98% (

0.05)

51.02% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

0.04)

72.88% (

-0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.05)

22.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

0.07)

56.41% (

-0.08)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39% (

-0.01)

31.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.98% (

-0.01)

68.02% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 44.75%

Fiorentina 29.46%

Draw 25.78%

AC Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.75%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.46%