Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 2
Atalanta

Orsolini (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Bologna
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
29.32% ( -0.06)	25.45% ( -0.02)	45.22% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.27% (

0.07)

49.73% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.26% (

0.06)

71.74% (

-0.07)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.95% (

-0)

31.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

-0)

67.37%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03% (

0.07)

21.97% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.73% (

0.1)

55.27% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Bologna 29.32%

Atalanta BC 45.21%

Draw 25.45%

Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.32%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.21%