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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Atalanta logo

Bologna
1 - 2
Atalanta

Orsolini (6')
Medel (66'), Lykogiannis (84'), Dominguez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
de Roon (26'), Pasalic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Bologna
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-2 Atalanta BC

Despite their recent travails, Atalanta's away form is among the best in Serie A this season, and they now meet a Bologna side whose rhythm was disrupted by the long winter break. Perked up by their brave fightback in La Spezia, the visitors can eke out all three points and get back on the top-four trail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
29.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 25.45% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 45.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.27% (0.071999999999996 0.07)49.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26% (0.064 0.06)71.74% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.37%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.97% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)55.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 29.32%
    Atalanta BC 45.21%
    Draw 25.45%
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.21%

How you voted: Bologna vs Atalanta

Bologna
24.1%
Draw
13.9%
Atalanta BC
62.0%
166
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna

Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')

Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
2-2
Atalanta
Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')
Jul 21, 2020 6.30pm
Atalanta
1-0
Bologna
Muriel (63')
G. (36'), Freuler (70'), Gosens (83'), Colley (90+3'), de Roon (90+4')
G. (36')

Tomiyasu (30'), Denswil (36'), Larangeira (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan146442416822
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Lecce164481027-1716
14Parma163672328-515
15Genoa153661324-1115
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
17CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
18Como152671628-1212
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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