Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Bologna |
67.91% ( 0.11) | 19.42% ( -0.13) | 12.67% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.05% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% ( 0.63) | 45.58% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.09% ( 0.6) | 67.91% ( -0.6) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( 0.22) | 12.4% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.71% ( 0.46) | 38.29% ( -0.46) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.72% ( 0.43) | 46.28% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.06% ( 0.33) | 81.94% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 67.91% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
14 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |