Serie A Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 6' goal

Roma vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Nov 13, 2022 2.00pm
Roma 1 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Paulo Dybala

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 7.45pm
Bologna 3 - 0 Sassuolo
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 67.91% (+0.12)
Draw 19.42% (-0.14)
Bologna 12.67% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.05% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.41% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 45.58% (-0.64)
Over 3.5 32.09% (+0.60)
Under 3.5 67.91% (-0.60)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 87.59% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 12.4% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 61.71% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 38.29% (-0.46)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 53.72% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 46.28% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 18.06% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 81.94% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Roma 67.91%
Draw 19.42%
Bologna 12.67%
Roma
2-0 @ 12.5% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 4.54% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.5% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.46% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 67.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.71% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.42%
Bologna
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 3.56% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 12.67%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 41'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mattias Svanberg 35' goal
  • Roberto Soriano 38' yellowcard
  • Lukasz Skorupski 88' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Carles Perez 59'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 72'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 81'
  • yellowcard Rick Karsdorp 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pedro 36' yellowcard
  • Borja Mayoral 44' goal
  • Gonzalo Villar 75' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo De Silvestri 38'
  • yellowcard Sinisa Mihajlovic 82'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 5
FT
  • Bryan Cristante 24' goal
  • Roberto Soriano 53' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Vignato 63' yellowcard
  • S. Mihajlovic 64' yellowcard
  • Andri Baldursson 78' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Dominguez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Andrea Poli 5' (OG)
  • goal Edin Dzeko 10'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 15'
  • goal Jordan Veretout 35'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 43'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 44'
  • yellowcard Ibanez 49'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Stefano Denswil 22' goal
  • Davide Santon 59' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 72' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 80' redcard
  • Bruno Peres 85' yellowcard
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 16'
  • goal Musa Barrow 26'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 38'
  • goal Musa Barrow 51'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 55'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bani 59'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Skorupski 88'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2019 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)
  • Andrea Poli 15' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Dijks 41' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 54' goal
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 13'
  • goal Aleksandar Kolarov 49'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 59'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 62'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 64'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 71'
  • redcard Gianluca Mancini 85'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 94'