Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Arechi
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 45'+3'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 48'

Salernitana vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2023 5.00pm
Atalanta 8 - 2 Salernitana
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Boulaye Dia

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Napoli 5 - 1 Juventus
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Victor Osimhen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result

Salernitana 13.79% (-0.01)
Draw 17.72% (-0.02)
Napoli 68.49% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.46% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.07% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 34.93% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 43.09% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 56.91% (-0.06)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 62.25% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.75% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.47% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 74.53% (-0.03)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 90.71% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 9.29% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 68.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 31.35% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Salernitana 13.79%
Draw 17.72%
Napoli 68.49%
Salernitana
2-1 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 13.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.72%
Napoli
0-2 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 68.49%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Juan Jesus 17' goal
  • Amir Rrahmani 47' goal
  • Dries Mertens 45'+4' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 53' goal
  • yellowcard Filippo Delli Carri 23'
  • yellowcard Joel Obi 30'
  • goal Federico Bonazzoli 33'
  • yellowcard Frederic Veseli 45'+3'
  • redcard Frederic Veseli 51'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2021 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Grigoris Kastanos 70' redcard
  • yellowcard Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa 41'
  • goal Piotr Zielinski 61'
  • yellowcard Mario Rui 74'
  • redcard Kalidou Koulibaly 77'