Serie A
Gameweek
16
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fintlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Edin Dzeko
56'
Inter Milan vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F41%2Fluciano-spalletti.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Inter Milan
42.47%
▲
(+0.59)
Draw
22.73%
▼
(-0.33)
Napoli
34.8%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
65.9%
▲
(+1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.07%
▲
(+1.55)
Under 2.5
34.93%
▼
(-1.55)
Over 3.5
43.09%
▲
(+1.70)
Under 3.5
56.91%
▼
(-1.71)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
82.92%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 0.5
17.08%
▼
(-0.88)
Over 1.5
52.73%
▲
(+1.52)
Under 1.5
47.26%
▼
(-1.52)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
79.48%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 0.5
20.52%
▼
(-0.58)
Over 1.5
46.98%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 1.5
53.02%
▼
(-0.90)
Score analysis
Inter Milan
42.47%
Draw
22.73%
Napoli
34.8%
Inter Milan
2-1
@
8.67%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.31)
2-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 42.47%
1-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.31)
2-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 42.47%
Draw
1-1
@
9.81%
▼
(-0.32)
2-2 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.73%
2-2 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.73%
Napoli
1-2
@
7.77%
▼
(-0.11)
0-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 34.8%
0-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 34.8%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
25
-
Lorenzo Insigne
7'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
37'
-
Edin Dzeko
47'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
60'
Serie A
Gameweek
13
-
Simone Inzaghi
24'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
25'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
41'
-
Ivan Perisic
44'
-
Lautaro Martinez
61'
-
Arturo Vidal
72'
-
Samir Handanovic
84'
-
Edin Dzeko
90'+1'
-
Victor Osimhen
10'
-
Piotr Zielinski
17'
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
24'
-
Amir Rrahmani
35'
-
Dries Mertens
78'
Serie A
Gameweek
31
-
Samir Handanovic
36'
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
38'
-
Diego Demme
80'
-
Matteo Politano
87'
-
Dries Mertens
88'
-
Kostas Manolas
90'+4'
-
Christian Eriksen
55'
-
Matteo Darmian
63'
-
Achraf Hakimi
90'+5'
Serie A
Gameweek
12
-
Marcelo Brozovic
57'
-
Romelu Lukaku
73'
-
Romelu Lukaku
80'
-
Milan Skriniar
85'
-
Danilo D'Ambrosio
88'
-
Samir Handanovic
90'+1'
-
Tiemoue Bakayoko
59'
-
David Ospina
71'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
71'
-
Hirving Lozano
75'
Serie A
Gameweek
37
-
Danilo D'Ambrosio
11'
-
Alexis Sanchez
22'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
45'+4'
-
Nicolo Barella
55'
-
Lautaro Martinez
74'
-
Cristiano Biraghi
76'
-
Hirving Lozano
80'
Coppa Italia
-
Dries Mertens
41'
-
David Ospina
79'
-
Christian Eriksen
2'
-
Ashley Young
12'
-
Stefan de Vrij
38'