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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Napoli

Dzeko (56')
Dzeko (27'), Barella (84'), Dumfries (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Lorenzo (85'), Min-jae (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Inter Milan
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Napoli

In their last 24 league games Inter have never drawn - posting 18 wins and six losses during that spell - but now would not be a bad time to start. Though they really need maximum points to start closing the gap to distant leaders Napoli, the visitors' potent attack cannot be kept quiet for a full 90 minutes and a point apiece will have to suffice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
42.47% (0.58499999999999 0.58) 22.73% (-0.323 -0.32) 34.8% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 65.9% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.07% (1.541 1.54)34.93% (-1.544 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.09% (1.699 1.7)56.91% (-1.703 -1.7)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.86799999999999 0.87)17.08% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (1.513 1.51)47.26% (-1.518 -1.52)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.568 0.57)20.52% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (0.895 0.9)53.02% (-0.899 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 42.47%
    Napoli 34.8%
    Draw 22.73%
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.172 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.124 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.052 0.05)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.8%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Inter Milan
29.1%
Draw
26.3%
Napoli
44.6%
213
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Zielinski (17'), Mertens (78')
Osimhen (10'), Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (35')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Handanovic (36' og.)
Koulibaly (38'), Demme (80'), Politano (87'), Mertens (88'), Manolas (90+4')
Eriksen (55')
Darmian (63'), Hakimi (90+5')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')

Bakayoko (59'), Ospina (71'), Lozano (75')
Insigne (71')
Jul 28, 2020 8.45pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Napoli
D'Ambrosio (11'), Martinez (74')
Sanchez (22'), Brozovic (45+4'), Barella (55'), Biraghi (76')

Lozano (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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