Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Napoli3 - 2Udinese
We said: Napoli 2-1 Udinese
Napoli are seeking their ninth straight home win in all competitions, and an Udinese side that could not maintain their magnificent start are not best placed to stop them. Such is the hosts' firepower, they can score goals from all quarters of a talented squad and will ultimately break down well-drilled opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
67.93% ( -0.27) | 18.8% ( 0.1) | 13.27% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
