Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 82.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.17%) and 4-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.