Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 82.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.17%) and 4-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
| 82.66% ( | 11.43% ( | 5.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.43% ( | 50.57% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.76% ( | 5.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.32% ( | 20.68% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.11% | 49.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.42% ( | 84.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 11.36% 3-0 @ 11.17% 4-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 3-1 @ 7.77% 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 4-1 @ 5.73% ( 5-0 @ 4.86% ( 5-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.99% 6-1 @ 1.66% ( 5-2 @ 1.18% 7-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 82.66% | 1-1 @ 5.36% ( 2-2 @ 2.75% 0-0 @ 2.61% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 11.43% | 1-2 @ 1.86% ( 0-1 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.91% |