Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
5 - 1
Juventus

Osimhen (14', 65'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Rrahmani (55'), Elmas (72')

FT(HT: 2-1)

di Maria (42')

The Match

Match Report

Napoli move 10 points clear at the top of Serie A courtesy of a famous 5-1 victory over fellow title hopefuls and bitter rivals Juventus at the Estadio Diego Maradona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Napoli
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Juventus
54.62% ( -0.08)	22.76% ( 0.03)	22.62% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 56.33% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.55% (

-0.09)

43.45% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.15% (

-0.09)

65.85% (

0.08)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18% (

-0.06)

15.82% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.01% (

-0.11)

44.99% (

0.11)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91% (

33.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.32% (

69.68% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Napoli 54.62%

Juventus 22.62%

Draw 22.75%

Napoli	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 54.62%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 22.62%