Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Juventus |
| 36.32% ( | 24.79% ( | 38.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( | 44.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( | 67.07% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( | 24.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( | 58.54% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( | 22.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( | 56.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Juventus |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.89% |