Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
2 - 0
Cremonese

Cambiaghi (46'), Parisi (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Empoli
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Cremonese
39.53% ( -0.64)	25.43% ( 0.14)	35.04% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.2% (

-0.56)

47.8% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.01% (

-0.51)

69.99% (

0.51)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.57)

23.9% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.9% (

-0.83)

58.1% (

0.83)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

0.03)

26.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48% (

0.04)

61.52% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Empoli 39.53%

Cremonese 35.04%

Draw 25.43%

Empoli	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.53%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.04%