Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 8, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-1)

Osimhen (19'), Elmas (82' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Sampdoria
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Napoli
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Napoli
19.58% ( -0.3)	21.47% ( -0.21)	58.95% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.39% (

0.52)

41.6% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.99% (

0.52)

64% (

-0.53)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04% (

-0.01)

34.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3% (

-0.01)

71.69% (

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.2% (

0.33)

13.79% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.88% (

0.64)

41.12% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 19.58%

Napoli 58.95%

Draw 21.46%

Sampdoria	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.58%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.95%