Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.