Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • goal Victor Osimhen 19'
  • goal Eljif Elmas 82'

Sampdoria vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Sassuolo 1 - 2 Sampdoria
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Manolo Gabbiadini

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Napoli
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Victor Osimhen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

Sampdoria 19.58% (-0.30)
Draw 21.47% (-0.22)
Napoli 58.95% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.07% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.39% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 41.6% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 35.99% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 64% (-0.53)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 65.04% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.95% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.3% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.69% (+0.01)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 86.2% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 13.79% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 58.88% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 41.12% (-0.65)

Score analysis

Sampdoria 19.58%
Draw 21.46%
Napoli 58.95%
Sampdoria
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 5.07% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 2.66% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 19.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.23% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.46%
Napoli
1-2 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 9.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 6.25% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.45% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 3.25% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 3.09% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.71% (+0.05)
1-5 @ 1.29% (+0.05)
0-5 @ 1.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 58.95%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrea Petagna 43' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nicola Murru 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2021 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 28' yellowcard
  • Fabio Depaoli 77' yellowcard
  • goal Victor Osimhen 10'
  • goal Fabian 39'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 50'
  • goal Piotr Zielinski 59'
  • yellowcard Kostas Manolas 87'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Kostas Manolas 24'
  • goal Fabian 35'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 46'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 78'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 87'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hirving Lozano 53' goal
  • Andrea Petagna 68' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 84' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mario Rui 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jakub Jankto 20'
  • yellowcard Morten Thorsby 38'
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 52'
  • yellowcard Omar Colley 82'
  • yellowcard Gaston Ramirez 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2020 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Luigi Ferraris
  • Fabio Quagliarella 26' goal
  • Jakub Jankto 43' yellowcard
  • Albin Ekdal 47' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 58' yellowcard
  • Manolo Gabbiadini 73' goal
  • Karol Linetty 87' yellowcard
  • goal Arkadiusz Milik 3'
  • goal Eljif Elmas 16'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 43'
  • goal Diego Demme 83'
  • goal Dries Mertens 90'
  • yellowcard Diego Demme 90'
  • yellowcard Matteo Politano 90'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2019 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio San Paolo (Napoli)
  • Nikola Maksimovic 7' yellowcard
  • Dries Mertens 13' goal
  • Fabian 37' yellowcard
  • Dries Mertens 67' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Ferrari 26'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Caprari 41'