Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.1%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%).