Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Cremonese |
| 40.25% ( | 25.95% ( | 33.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% ( | 50.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% ( | 72.23% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( | 24.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.85% ( | 59.15% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( | 28.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( | 64.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.79% |