Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 14, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
2 - 3
Monza

Ciofani (67'), Dessers (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ciurria (8'), Caprari (19' pen., 55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Cremonese
Monday, January 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Monza
40.77% ( -0.98)	25.4% ( -0.02)	33.82% ( 1)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.13% (

0.35)

47.86% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.95% (

0.32)

70.04% (

-0.32)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

-0.33)

23.29% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77% (

-0.48)

57.23% (

0.48)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

0.79)

27.13% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

1.02)

62.52% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 40.77%

Monza 33.82%

Draw 25.4%

Cremonese	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.77%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.82%