Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.14) 
