Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 3
Juventus

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vlahovic (26' pen., 47'), Kostic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Salernitana
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Juventus
22.59% ( 0.06)	23.83% ( 0.15)	53.57% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

-0.57)

48.14% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-0.52)

70.3% (

0.53)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-0.26)

35.72% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-0.27)

72.49% (

0.27)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.1% (

-0.29)

17.9% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.31% (

-0.5)

48.69% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 22.59%

Juventus 53.56%

Draw 23.83%

Salernitana	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.59%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.56%