Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
22.59% ( 0.06) | 23.83% ( 0.15) | 53.57% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( -0.57) | 48.14% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.7% ( -0.52) | 70.3% ( 0.53) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.28% ( -0.26) | 35.72% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.51% ( -0.27) | 72.49% ( 0.27) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.1% ( -0.29) | 17.9% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.31% ( -0.5) | 48.69% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.59% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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