Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Salernitana |
| 53.31% ( | 24.34% | 22.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( | 50.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( | 72.39% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( | 18.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% ( | 50.34% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% ( | 37.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.97% ( | 74.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.69% Total : 22.35% |