Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.