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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Salernitana

Lecce
1 - 2
Salernitana

Espeto (23')
Maleh (53'), Baschirotto (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
Coulibaly (40'), Bradaric (43'), Sambia (80'), Nicolussi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, January 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Salernitana

Putting aside their current woes, Salernitana have proven they can cause teams trouble away from home - three wins and as many draws in 10 road trips attest to that. While Lecce's recent form is far better, they are not the most prolific side and may have to settle for a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSalernitana
53.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.34%22.35%
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.39% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.02% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 53.3%
    Salernitana 22.35%
    Draw 24.33%
LecceDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Lecce vs Salernitana

Lecce
61.7%
Draw
27.7%
Salernitana
10.6%
94
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Coulibaly (10')
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Lecce
4-0
Salernitana
Lapadula (4', 76'), Falco (61'), Majer (81')
Calderoni (33'), La Mantia (59')

Kiyine (45')
Jan 26, 2019 5pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Anderson (71')
Minala (72')
Mancosu (4'), Palombi (20')
Lucioni (27'), Tachtsidis (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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