Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2023 1.30pm
Spezia 2 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Lecce 2 - 1 Lazio
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Spezia 35.79% (+0.06)
Draw 26.74% (+0.10)
Lecce 37.47% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.74% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.67% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 53.32% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 25.13% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 74.87% (+0.33)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 71.43% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 28.56% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 35.64% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 64.36% (+0.19)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 72.43% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 27.57% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 36.9% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 63.09% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Spezia 35.79%
Draw 26.74%
Lecce 37.46%
Spezia
1-0 @ 9.87% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.88% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.74%
Lecce
0-1 @ 10.14% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.46%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Dec 16, 2021 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Strelec 6' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 30' yellowcard
  • Aurelien Nguiamba 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kastriot Dermaku 17'
  • yellowcard Antonio Barreca 35'
  • goal Marcin Listkowski 43'
  • yellowcard Pablo Rodriguez 49'
  • goal Arturo Calabresi 55'
  • yellowcard Alexis Blin 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 38
May 11, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Jacopo Petriccione 9' goal
  • Fabio Lucioni 13' yellowcard
  • Andrea La Mantia 27' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Ricci 52'
  • goal Elio Capradossi 83'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
  • Matteo Ricci 13' goal
  • Luca Vignali 41' yellowcard
  • Luca Mora 48' yellowcard
  • Elio Capradossi 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesare Bovo 28'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 55'
  • goal Manuel Scavone 68'
  • yellowcard Simone Palombi 72'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 74'