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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Lecce logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Lecce

Spezia's collapse against Atalanta would have concerned their manager Gotti, who is likely to be forced into starting an inexperienced youngster in goal due to injuries. As such, we would not be surprised if Lecce extend their winning run to four matches on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawLecce
35.79% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.74% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 37.47% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.386 -0.39)53.32% (0.382 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.329 -0.33)74.87% (0.324 0.32)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.155 -0.16)28.56% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.194 -0.19)64.36% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.271 -0.27)27.57% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)63.09% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 35.79%
    Lecce 37.46%
    Draw 26.74%
SpeziaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.46%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lecce

Spezia
31.5%
Draw
22.2%
Lecce
46.3%
54
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
May 11, 2019 2pm
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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