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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Lecce logo

Hellas Verona
2 - 0
Lecce

Depaoli (40'), Lazovic (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
38.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)33.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)28.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.08% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 38.97%
    Lecce 33.16%
    Draw 27.84%
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Lecce

Hellas Verona
50.0%
Draw
23.7%
Lecce
26.3%
38
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Hellas Verona
3-0
Lecce
Dawidowicz (19'), Pessina (34'), Pazzini (86' pen.)
Faraoni (30'), Amrabat (65')

Tachtsidis (15'), Dell'Orco (58')
Dell'Orco (68')
Sep 1, 2019 7.45pm
Lecce
0-1
Hellas Verona

Rossettini (22'), Majer (85')
Pessina (81')
Kumbulla (3'), Gunter (65'), Verre (67')
Feb 26, 2019 8pm
Oct 5, 2018 8pm
Hellas Verona
0-2
Lecce

Seung-Woo (11'), Eguelfi (29'), Colombatto (86')
La Mantia (45'), Mancosu (68')
Scavone (53'), Petriccione (64'), Palombi (82'), Meccariello (90')