Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.