Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Monza |
58.7% ( 0.23) | 22.05% ( -0.06) | 19.25% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( 0.04) | 44.68% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( 0.04) | 67.05% ( -0.04) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.1% ( 0.09) | 14.89% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.75% ( 0.17) | 43.25% ( -0.17) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.91% ( -0.15) | 37.09% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.12% ( -0.15) | 73.87% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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