Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
49.58% ( -0.58) | 23.36% ( 0.23) | 27.05% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.01% ( -0.78) | 41.98% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.61% ( -0.79) | 64.39% ( 0.79) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.91% ( -0.5) | 17.09% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.72% ( -0.9) | 47.27% ( 0.9) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( -0.15) | 28.71% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( -0.19) | 64.53% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.03% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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