Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona0 - 3Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Fiorentina
The ultimate 'Jekyll and Hyde' team, in terms of their contrasting fortunes in Serie A and in Europe, Fiorentina can barely buy a goal domestically yet score freely in the Conference League. Up against Verona's once-suspect defence, which has improved dramatically since the winter break, they are likely to find the going tough so may take only one point back to Florence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.62% ( -0.06) | 26.28% ( -0.09) | 47.11% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
