Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 26.62% ( | 26.28% ( | 47.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( | 54.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( | 75.9% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.3% ( | 35.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.53% ( | 72.47% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( | 23.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( | 57.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.11% |