Serie A Gameweek 18
Roma
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina
  • Paulo Dybala 40' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 82' goal

Roma vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 2 Roma
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Paulo Dybala

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 2.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Arthur Cabral

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 44.35% ▼ (-1.11)
Draw 26.68% ▼ (-0.13)
Fiorentina 28.96% ▲ (+1.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.78% ▲ (+1.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.16% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 2.5 54.84% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 3.5 23.86% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 3.5 76.13% ▼ (-0.86)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 75.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 24.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 40.91% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 59.08% ▲ (+0.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 66.02% ▲ (+1.52)
Under 0.5 33.98% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 1.5 29.34% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 1.5 70.66% ▼ (-1.61)

Score analysis

Roma 44.35%
Draw 26.68%
Fiorentina 28.96%
Roma
1-0 @ 11.72% ▼ (-0.51)
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.38)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.68%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.96%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Roma
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 5' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 11' goal
  • Sofyan Amrabat 19' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 28' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 24'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Roma
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 13' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 26' goal
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 44' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 52' redcard
  • Jordan Veretout 64' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 79' goal
  • redcard Bartlomiej Dragowski 17'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 53'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 60'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Roma
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 60' goal
  • Franck Ribery 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 40'
  • goal Leonardo Spinazzola 49'
  • yellowcard Marash Kumbulla 74'
  • goal Amadou Diawara 88'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Roma
Nov 1, 2020 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 12' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 24' yellowcard
  • Jordan Veretout 33' yellowcard
  • Pedro 70' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaetano Castrovilli 32'
  • yellowcard Pol Lirola 51'
  • redcard Lucas Martinez 88'
Serie A Gameweek 36
Roma
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina
  • Jordan Veretout 45' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 87' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 35'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 54'
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 72'
  • yellowcard Rachid Ghezzal 86'
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 88'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Roma
  • German Pezzella 21' yellowcard
  • Milan Badelj 34' goal
  • Martin Caceres 45' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 64' yellowcard
  • Dusan Vlahovic 89' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 19'
  • goal Aleksandar Kolarov 21'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 38'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Kolarov 45'
  • yellowcard Amadou Diawara 57'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 73'
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 88'

Form Data

Roma 1 - 0 Genoa
AC Milan 2 - 2 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Bologna
Roma 3 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Roma 1 - 0 Casa Pia
Roma 0 - 3 Cadiz
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Sampdoria
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Monza
AC Milan 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Salernitana
Sampdoria 0 - 2 Fiorentina

Build-up

Feature