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Serie A

Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma logo

AC Milan
2 - 2
Roma

Kalulu (30'), Pobega (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibanez (87'), Abraham (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Bologna
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Roma had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
49.97% (0.441 0.44)25.87% (-0.084 -0.08)24.16% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)54.76% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)76.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.203 0.2)21.95% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (0.308 0.31)55.24% (-0.311 -0.31)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05% (-0.314 -0.31)37.94% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.28% (-0.306 -0.31)74.71% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 49.97%
    Roma 24.16%
    Draw 25.86%
AC MilanDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.16%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Roma

AC Milan
73.1%
Draw
17.9%
Roma
9.0%
134
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2022 5.30pm
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Giroud (8' pen.), Messias (17'), Leao (81')
Hernandez (44'), Krunic (56')
Abraham (40')
Abraham (7'), Zaniolo (18'), Karsdorp (44'), Mancini (84')
Karsdorp (74'), Mancini (90+3')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
El Shaarawy (90+3')
Zaniolo (7'), Karsdorp (24'), Mancini (49'), Veretout (90+7')
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')
Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')
Jun 28, 2020 4.15pm
AC Milan
2-0
Roma