Serie A Gameweek 17
AC Milan
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Pierre Kalulu 30' goal
  • Tommaso Pobega 77' goal
  • goal Ibanez 87'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 90'+3'

AC Milan vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Salernitana 1 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Roma 1 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Paulo Dybala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Roma had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 49.97% ▲ (+0.45)
Draw 25.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Roma 24.16% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.43% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 54.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 76.07% ▼ (-0.03)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 78.04% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 21.95% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 1.5 44.76% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 55.24% ▼ (-0.32)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 62.05% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 37.94% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 25.28% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 74.71% ▲ (+0.31)

Score analysis

AC Milan 49.97%
Draw 25.86%
Roma 24.16%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 12.63% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.86%
Roma
0-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.16%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 20
AC Milan
Jan 6, 2022 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Roma
  • Olivier Giroud 8' goal
  • Junior Messias 17' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 44' yellowcard
  • Rade Krunic 56' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 7'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 18'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 40'
  • yellowcard Rick Karsdorp 44'
  • redcard Rick Karsdorp 74'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 84'
  • redcard Gianluca Mancini 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Roma
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 7' yellowcard
  • Rick Karsdorp 24' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 49' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+3' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 26'
  • yellowcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 27'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 41'
  • goal Franck Kessie 57'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 65'
  • redcard Theo Hernandez 66'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 67'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 77'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 81'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Roma
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Federico Fazio 42' yellowcard
  • Jordan Veretout 50' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 80' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 89' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 42'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 46'
  • goal Ante Rebic 58'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 85'
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 5
AC Milan
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 2' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 47' goal
  • Rafael Leao 70' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 75' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 79' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 82' yellowcard
  • goal Edin Dzeko 14'
  • goal Jordan Veretout 71'
  • yellowcard Pedro 77'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 81'
  • goal Marash Kumbulla 84'
Serie A Gameweek 28
AC Milan
Jun 28, 2020 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Samu Castillejo 41' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 62' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 76' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 89' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 23'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Roma
Oct 27, 2019 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
AC Milan
  • Edin Dzeko 38' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 41' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 58' goal
  • Mirko Antonucci 78' yellowcard
  • Mert Cetin 83' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Kolarov 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Musacchio 49'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas Biglia 64'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 74'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 95'
  • yellowcard Antonio Donnarumma 96'

Form Data

Salernitana 1 - 2 AC Milan
PSV 3 - 0 AC Milan
Liverpool 4 - 1 AC Milan
Arsenal 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Cremonese 0 - 0 AC Milan
Roma 1 - 0 Bologna
Roma 3 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Roma 1 - 0 Casa Pia
Roma 0 - 3 Cadiz
Roma 1 - 4 Yokohama
Nagoya Grampus 0 - 0 Roma