Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sampdoria logo

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Barak (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Sampdoria

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Napoli
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
62.76% (-0.338 -0.34)20.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.12% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 56% (0.59500000000001 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (0.457 0.46)39.43% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (0.476 0.48)61.77% (-0.473 -0.47)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)12% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (0.094000000000001 0.09)37.45% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.645 0.64)36.35% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.644 0.64)73.14% (-0.643 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 62.76%
    Sampdoria 17.12%
    Draw 20.12%
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 62.76%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.12%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sampdoria

Fiorentina
68.5%
Draw
21.3%
Sampdoria
10.1%
89
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Sampdoria
0-2
Fiorentina

Leris (25')
Bonaventura (4'), Milenkovic (58')
May 16, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Callejon (23'), Vlahovic (32'), Sottil (45')
Gabbiadini (15')
Gabbiadini (42'), Colley (74'), Ferrari (82')
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Balde (31'), Quagliarella (71')
Damsgaard (57')
Vlahovic (37')
Venuti (34'), Pulgar (61'), Bonaventura (79')
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
Vlahovic (72')
Quagliarella (42' pen.), Verre (83')
Thorsby (25'), Tonelli (70'), Ekdal (73')
rhs 2.0


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