Coppa Italia
Jan 12, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Antonin Barak 25' goal

Fiorentina vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Sampdoria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 62.76% (-0.34)
Draw 20.12% (+0.03)
Sampdoria 17.12% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

56% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.57% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 39.43% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 38.22% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 61.77% (-0.48)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 87.99% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 12% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 62.55% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 37.45% (-0.10)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 63.64% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 36.35% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 26.86% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 73.14% (-0.65)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 62.76%
Draw 20.12%
Sampdoria 17.12%
Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 7.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.67% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.88% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 62.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.12%
Sampdoria
1-2 @ 4.74% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.12%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 4'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 58'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 16, 2022 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alex Ferrari 16' goal
  • Ronaldo Vieira 18' yellowcard
  • Fabio Quagliarella 30' goal
  • Morten Thorsby 71' goal
  • Abdelhamid Sabiri 84' goal
  • Simone Trimboli 89' yellowcard
  • Omar Colley 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 14'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 15'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 69'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 89'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Jose Callejon 23' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 32' goal
  • Riccardo Sottil 45' goal
  • goal Manolo Gabbiadini 15'
  • yellowcard Manolo Gabbiadini 42'
  • yellowcard Omar Colley 74'
  • yellowcard Alex Ferrari 82'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Keita Balde 31' goal
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 57' yellowcard
  • Fabio Quagliarella 71' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 34'
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 37'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 61'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 79'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Dusan Vlahovic 72' goal
  • yellowcard Morten Thorsby 25'
  • goal Fabio Quagliarella 42'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Tonelli 70'
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 73'
  • goal Valerio Verre 83'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2020 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Luigi Ferraris
  • Nicola Murru 19' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 22' yellowcard
  • Nicola Murru 39' redcard
  • Omar Colley 53' yellowcard
  • Fabio Depaoli 86' yellowcard
  • Manolo Gabbiadini 90' goal
  • goal Morten Thorsby 8' (OG)
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 18'
  • yellowcard Dusan Vlahovic 20'
  • yellowcard Milan Badelj 35'
  • goal Federico Chiesa 40'
  • yellowcard Alfred Duncan 45'
  • redcard Milan Badelj 45'
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 57'
  • goal Federico Chiesa 78'