Roma logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Genoa logo

Roma
1 - 0
Genoa

Dybala (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Roma
Sunday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Genoa

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bari 1-2 Genoa
Monday, December 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawGenoa
47.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)26.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74%54.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35%75.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)56.78% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.016000000000005 0.02)35.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.012 0.01)72.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.19%
    Genoa 26.61%
    Draw 26.19%
RomaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47.19%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: Roma vs Genoa

Roma
85.3%
Draw
12.7%
Genoa
2.0%
102
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2pm
Roma
0-0
Genoa

Mancini (35'), Zaniolo (90+1'), Abraham (90+4')
Zaniolo (90+5')

Vanheusden (25'), Vasquez (79')
Skiri Oestigaard (69')
Nov 21, 2021 7.45pm
Genoa
0-2
Roma

Cambiaso (32'), Badelj (54'), Sabelli (78')
Afena-Gyan (82', 90+4')
Veretout (40'), Mourinho (49'), Afena-Gyan (89')
Mar 7, 2021 11.30am
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Mancini (24')
Mancini (65')

Masiello (42'), Destro (45+1'), Strootman (64'), Criscito (84')
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Genoa
1-3
Roma
Pjaca (50')
Zajc (6'), Maran (84')
Mkhitaryan (45+2', 67', 85')
Jan 19, 2020 5pm
Genoa
1-3
Roma
Pandev (45')
Romero (38'), Cassata (61')
Under (6'), Biraschi (44' og.), Dzeko (74')
Veretout (26'), Dzeko (73'), Lopez (81')
rhs 2.0


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