Serie B | Gameweek 18

Dec 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Frosinone

Gudmundsson (22')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Frosinone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Pisa
Sunday, December 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Frosinone
43.82% ( 0.1)	28.93% ( 0.03)	27.25% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 42.7% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.66% (

-0.15)

63.34% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.29% (

-0.1)

82.72% (

0.11)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

-0.02)

28.82% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

-0.02)

64.67% (

0.03)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.98% (

-0.19)

40.02% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.33% (

-0.17)

76.67% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Genoa 43.82%

Frosinone 27.25%

Draw 28.92%

Genoa	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 43.82%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.25%