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Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 0
Sudtirol

Puscas (65'), Aramu (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Cittadella
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-1 Frosinone
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawSudtirol
52.1% (0.039000000000001 0.04)26.41% (-0.012 -0.01)21.49% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.93% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)79.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (0.02300000000001 0.02)22.77% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)42.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)79.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 52.1%
    Sudtirol 21.49%
    Draw 26.41%
GenoaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 14.46%
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 52.1%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Genoa vs Sudtirol

Genoa
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sudtirol
0.0%
5