Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Genoa logo

Ternana
1 - 2
Genoa

Favilli (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coda (76' pen., 78')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Genoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Benevento 2-3 Ternana
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B

Genoa

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 SPAL
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
TernanaDrawGenoa
40.43% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)31.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)58.94% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)79.43% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.36% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)34.23% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)70.93% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 40.42%
    Genoa 31.53%
    Draw 28.04%
TernanaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.42%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.48%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.53%