Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Palermo
51.95% ( -0.32)	25.72% ( 0.13)	22.33% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 46.87% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.21% (

-0.28)

55.79% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.08% (

-0.23)

76.92% (

0.23)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

-0.25)

21.53% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41% (

-0.38)

54.59% (

0.39)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.73% (

0.04)

40.27% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.1% (

0.03)

76.9% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Ternana 51.94%

Palermo 22.33%

Draw 25.73%

Ternana	Draw	Palermo
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.94%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.33%