Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.