Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.