Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.65%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Palermo win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Reggiana
15.05% ( -0.05)	22.44% ( -0.03)	62.5% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.09% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47% (

0.02)

52.99% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

0.02)

74.59% (

-0.02)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.78% (

-0.06)

47.22% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.35% (

-0.04)

82.65% (

0.04)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.53% (

0.03)

16.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.83% (

0.06)

46.16% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Palermo 15.05%

Reggiana 62.5%

Draw 22.44%

Palermo	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.05%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 14.02% 0-2 @ 12.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 62.5%